Israel discusses the growing role of Turkey as a strategic challenge
In Israel’s expert and media space, discussion is intensifying around Turkey as one of the key external risk factors for national security. According to a number of analysts, Ankara is gradually turning into an independent vector of strategic pressure, comparable in significance to the Iranian direction.
Retired general and former head of Israel’s National Security Council Giora Eiland notes in his publication that Turkey can be viewed as a conditional “eighth front” of potential threats. In his view, Ankara’s current foreign policy is marked by tougher rhetoric and active promotion of its own regional interests, including in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Syrian direction.
The expert points out that if relations continue to deteriorate, scenarios of limited incidents are possible, including rising tensions in Syrian airspace and risks to shipping in the Eastern Mediterranean. Particular emphasis is placed on the likelihood of indirect pressure through Turkey’s allies and partners in the region.
Against this backdrop, Israel is discussing the need to adjust strategic planning. Among the possible steps mentioned are deeper cooperation with Greece and Cyprus, as well as the expansion of regional formats of cooperation in the fields of security and energy. Such measures are seen as a way to deter and balance the growing influence of Turkey and Iran.
Analysts note that the change in Ankara’s role is linked not only to military factors, but also to Turkey’s diplomatic activity, its involvement in regional conflicts, and attempts to strengthen political influence in the Middle East. This creates additional challenges for the existing regional security architecture.
Overall, the discussion of Turkey as an independent strategic challenge reflects a broader shift in assessments of the regional situation, where traditional threats are being supplemented by new centers of power and influence requiring a separate approach and long-term analysis.