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India and Pakistan on the Brink of War: Trade and Air Traffic Suspended
Pakistan has closed its airspace to Indian airlines, suspended all trade, and warned that India’s restriction of water flows will be treated as an act of war.
Tensions between India and Pakistan are escalating rapidly. The Pakistani government has decided to suspend all bilateral trade with India and has fully closed its airspace to Indian air carriers. The announcement was made by Pakistan’s National Security Council, which stated that India’s actions are seen as a threat to national sovereignty and regional stability.
These steps are a direct response to India’s decision to withdraw from the Indus Waters Treaty, signed in 1960 under the auspices of the World Bank. The treaty regulates the use of rivers that originate in India and supply significant amounts of water to Pakistan. The unilateral termination of this agreement has sparked outrage in Islamabad. Officials have declared that any attempt by India to restrict water flows will be regarded as a direct act of aggression and could trigger military retaliation.
Pakistani authorities argue that such measures by India undermine stability in South Asia and pose a real threat to regional peace. Of particular concern are statements by Indian politicians about plans to review Pakistan’s access to water resources — resources that are vital to agriculture and drinking water supplies for millions of people. Pakistan warned that the consequences of such a move could be catastrophic.
In addition to economic and transportation restrictions, Pakistan has increased surveillance and military readiness along the Line of Control in Kashmir. According to officials, the armed forces are now on high alert. India has yet to respond to Pakistan’s latest actions, although officials in New Delhi have previously claimed the right to unilaterally exit the treaty due to evolving geopolitical conditions.
The two nations have a history of serious confrontations, including over water disputes, Kashmir, and military incidents. In 2019, airstrikes and artillery fire followed a terrorist attack in Pulwama, bringing the region to the brink of full-scale war. Although tensions temporarily eased through diplomatic channels, relations between the nuclear-armed nations have remained severely strained ever since.
Regional experts warn that current developments could lead to a full-blown crisis. The suspension of trade and air traffic, combined with potential moves regarding water flows, may signal an imminent escalation beyond a localized conflict — especially given both countries possess nuclear weapons.
Nationalist rhetoric is rising in Pakistan, where officials are calling for national unity and readiness to counter threats. The government has also appealed to the international community to intervene and prevent aggression from India. In response, the UN and other international bodies have issued calls for restraint, though no concrete steps toward de-escalation have been taken so far.
India has remained silent on the prospects of renewing the treaty or negotiating new terms. Meanwhile, both sides are reportedly ramping up military preparations, including troop deployments and increased intelligence activity along the border.
The situation remains extremely tense, and the likelihood of direct military confrontation has significantly increased. International observers continue to monitor developments, but the outlook for a diplomatic resolution in the near term appears bleak.
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